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Posts Tagged ‘Lisbon Treaty’

The UK should be in no rush to trigger article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty. There is  nothing to gain and much to lose.

Once we formally tell the EU the UK is leaving then the two year clock is ticking. Once that happens our negotiating power is seriously compromised. In extremis the EU Commission could just sit on its hands and do nothing, refusing even to speak.

The EU is already pushing the UK to trigger article 50, wanting to get the whole thing over quickly and before any head of steam builds up in other countries for a Frexit, Nexit or Grexit. That should tell us something.

And we don’t need civil servants negotiating our exit. And certainly not the same civil servants who negotiated and advised Cameron on the pathetic changes (sic)  he came back with last February. Let’s ensure we have hard nosed commercially savvy hard ball negotiators from the private sector. Individuals who are used to doing deals and staring down the barrel. The UK Foreign Office, whilst extremely competent in diplomacy elsewhere around the globe should not be anywhere near these negotiations when they are triggered. They are  and have been congenitally wedded to the EU and their natural mindset will be all wrong.

The Commission have apparently been told by Juncker there must be no informal discussions before the UK starts the Article 50 clock, and that is certainly Merkel’s view. Mind you that hasn’t stopped  Mrs Salmond planning to drop into the Berlaymont tomorrow to further her cause.

But two can play the say nothing game. There’s a case for letting the EU wait. Let’s see what happens. By leaving we’ve effectively killed off any chance of the EU developing its own EU Defence Force and its ridiculous aim of seeking autonomy from NATO. And with only France left to represent the EUs views at the UN Security Council  its representation has been cut by 50%. Let’s see what happens when we put forward informal proposals that as a quid pro quo for access to the single market without tariffs we’re prepared to be involved with the EU in some yet to be formed  associated member club to assist in these grand ideals.

Now there’s a thought. Back in fact  86 years to Churchill’s 1930 statement about  us being, “With Europe, but not of it.  We are linked but not combined. We are interested and associated but not absorbed.” To which is often added his words in a blazing row with General de Gaulle on the eve of D Day in 1944, “If Britain must choose between Europe and the open sea, she must always choose the open sea.”

 

 

 

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It’s not even six months since the Irish people firmly rejected the Lisbon Treaty, yet already we are seeing the opening shots of the mostly unelected political elite in the EU, in a campaign to tell the Irish they were wrong and must vote again next October.

Of course to have any success the EU will have to change the Treaty and give Ireland so many derogations, that what Ireland will be presented with will be a fundamentally different treaty. Under any normal rules of course, a new treaty should require signature by all member states afresh. Will this happen? Is the Pope a Catholic?

Of course it won’t. The UK government are fortunate in one way. After telling us that the Treaty was virtually the same as its fore-runner the EU Constitution, (which was roundly rejected by France and Denmark), and that the British people don’t therefore need a referendum, they would have had more of a problem attempting to justify their position when Ireland will be told that The Treaty is both completely different to the Constitution, and the first Lisbon Treaty that Ireland rejected.

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